Machine-Learning-Based No Show Prediction in Outpatient Visits

Author
Keywords
Abstract
A recurring problem in healthcare is the high percentage of patients who miss their appointment, be it a consultation or a hospital test. The present study seeks patient’s behavioural patterns that allow predicting the probability of no- shows. We explore the convenience of using Big Data Machine Learning models to accomplish this task. To begin with, a predictive model based only on variables associated with the target appointment is built. Then the model is improved by considering the patient’s history of appointments. In both cases, the Gradient Boosting algorithm was the predictor of choice. Our numerical results are considered promising given the small amount of information available. However, there seems to be plenty of room to improve the model if we manage to collect additional data for both patients and appointments.
Year of Publication
2018
Journal
International Journal of Interactive Multimedia and Artificial Intelligence
Volume
4
Issue
Special Issue on Big Data and e-Health
Number
7
Number of Pages
29-34
Date Published
03/2018
ISSN Number
1989-1660
Citation Key
URL
http://www.ijimai.org/journal/sites/default/files/files/2017/03/ijimai_4_7_4_pdf_11885.pdf
DOI
10.9781/ijimai.2017.03.004
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