01174nas a2200217   4500000000100000000000100001008004100002260001200043653001500055653001600070653001400086653001400100653002400114100002500138245003400163856007400197300001000271490000600281520065500287022001400942       2010                            d  c12/201010aPrevention10aProspective10aScenarios10aForesight10aMulti-Agent Systems1 aJose Miguel Castillo00aA crystal ball made of agents  uhttp://www.ijimai.org/journal/sites/default/files/IJIMAI20101_3_2.pdf  a13-170 v13 aThis article presents an agent-based solution to model the opinions of an experts group with the aim of predicting possible future scenarios. The need to envision the future is not new; it has existed since the beginning of human-kind. What it is new is the applicable technology that is available in a specific period of time. It is not usual to find a critical social system which evolves according to predictable guidelines or tendencies. Because of that reason, technical prediction based on past and present data is not reliable. This paper includes the process description of eliciting information from a group of experts and a real case study.  a1989-1660