TY - JOUR
KW - Prevention
KW - Prospective
KW - Scenarios
KW - Foresight
KW - Multi-Agent Systems
AU - Jose Miguel Castillo
AB - This article presents an agent-based solution to model the opinions of an experts group with the aim of predicting possible future scenarios. The need to envision the future is not new; it has existed since the beginning of human-kind. What it is new is the applicable technology that is available in a specific period of time. It is not usual to find a critical social system which evolves according to predictable guidelines or tendencies. Because of that reason, technical prediction based on past and present data is not reliable. This paper includes the process description of eliciting information from a group of experts and a real case study.
IS - A Direct Path to Intelligent Tools
M1 - 3
N2 - This article presents an agent-based solution to model the opinions of an experts group with the aim of predicting possible future scenarios. The need to envision the future is not new; it has existed since the beginning of human-kind. What it is new is the applicable technology that is available in a specific period of time. It is not usual to find a critical social system which evolves according to predictable guidelines or tendencies. Because of that reason, technical prediction based on past and present data is not reliable. This paper includes the process description of eliciting information from a group of experts and a real case study.
PY - 2010
SP - 13
EP - 17
T2 - International Journal of Interactive Multimedia and Artificial Intelligence
TI - A crystal ball made of agents
UR - http://www.ijimai.org/journal/sites/default/files/IJIMAI20101_3_2.pdf
VL - 1
SN - 1989-1660
ER -